Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-27 00:00:00+00:00 2.948759 3.477028 4.097515 4.886690 5.873081 7.077761 8.679746e+00
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 2.318153 3.018093 3.951195 5.316810 7.318265 10.234615 1.498557e+01
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 1.941408 2.685265 3.758506 5.479905 8.293479 12.951920 2.183267e+01
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 1.717312 2.492893 3.686042 5.752348 9.465101 16.367586 3.167016e+01
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 1.490905 2.244213 3.461054 5.698404 10.036666 18.921822 4.141790e+01
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 1.335417 2.075895 3.325494 5.752532 10.807846 22.183086 5.516534e+01
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 1.206863 1.929010 3.195130 5.777241 11.518419 25.633993 7.243424e+01
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 1.131584 1.860438 3.189252 6.040587 12.837754 31.264681 1.026555e+02
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 1.024067 1.718476 3.021197 5.924223 13.220607 34.573362 1.286287e+02
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.946177 1.620326 2.921664 5.934783 13.932924 39.318291 1.683203e+02
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.869620 1.514985 2.791380 5.845877 14.351769 43.397678 2.124049e+02
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.824022 1.463769 2.764646 5.998906 15.528665 51.089308 2.971873e+02
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.747417 1.351396 2.611121 5.855982 15.941380 56.974417 3.969270e+02
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.724464 1.346891 2.698466 6.384718 18.900178 78.003251 7.655836e+02
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.682589 1.296218 2.670551 6.590253 20.878165 97.390841 1.324395e+03
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.652781 1.266902 2.687131 6.933061 23.645501 126.834999 2.623652e+03
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.605311 1.192254 2.579670 6.865103 24.676945 146.876274 4.322645e+03
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.569592 1.139661 2.519121 6.933296 26.417979 177.300532 8.271006e+03
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.536046 1.087987 2.452533 6.964438 28.047116 212.009139 1.677204e+04
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.517393 1.068935 2.469521 7.296802 31.579260 280.803913 5.363322e+04
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.483049 1.008345 2.363368 7.149837 32.324957 318.662884 1.223253e+05
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.457425 0.966316 2.303123 7.163168 34.119827 382.320208 4.421602e+05
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.430183 0.917498 2.216518 7.050981 35.069230 438.844489 1.866185e+06